Monday, April 7, 2025

Tariffs Selloff--Wedbush & Hedge Fund Conspiracy--Sky is Falling Strategy


hedge funds could not afford to prop up overinflated stocks and used tariff escalation as opportunity to sell off

Hedge funds capitalized on the market turmoil caused by Trump's tariff escalation to offload overinflated stocks, avoiding the financial burden of propping them up further. Here’s how the situation unfolded:

Market Volatility and Hedge Fund Selling

Hedge funds globally sold over $40 billion in stocks following Trump's unexpected tariff announcement, marking their largest net selling spree in nearly 15 years.

Leveraged ETFs also dumped $23 billion, primarily in tech stocks, to rebalance portfolios amid heightened volatility.

Defensive Moves Amid Tariff Chaos

Hedge funds had already been net sellers for six consecutive weeks, with Goldman Sachs noting the second-largest nominal selling volume in five years.

They aggressively reduced exposure to high-growth tech stocks, adopting their most bearish stance since 2011.

Rationale for the Sell-Off

Tariffs exacerbated fears of a recession, with JPMorgan estimating a 60% probability and Goldman Sachs projecting 45%.

Hedge funds, facing liquidity constraints, used the tariff-driven panic to exit positions rather than sustain overvalued stocks.

Impact on Markets

The sell-off contributed to the Nasdaq entering a bear market and the S&P 500 losing $5 trillion in value.

Hedge funds' actions amplified market inefficiencies during the crisis, contrary to their usual role in improving price efficiency.

In summary, hedge funds exploited tariff-induced instability to divest from unsustainable positions, accelerating market declines. Their retreat reflected both risk aversion and an inability to artificially support inflated valuations

https://www.perplexity.ai/search/hedge-funds-could-not-afford-t-nC27nH8EQFSCiWk_wGy.Jg

fund managers deliberately cried sky is falling to capitalize on tariff escalation

The search results suggest that fund managers and investors have indeed reacted strongly to the Trump administration's tariff policies, but there is no direct evidence that they deliberately exaggerated risks to capitalize on the situation. Here are the key points:

Market Reactions to Tariffs

The S&P 500 fell 10.5% in two days, erasing ~$5 trillion in market value, while global indices like China’s CSI300 and Europe’s STOXX also saw sharp declines.

Hedge funds like Spring Mountain Pu Jiang Investment Management sold all stock holdings due to geopolitical uncertainty and recession risks.

Fund Manager Sentiment

JPMorgan analysts raised U.S. recession odds to 60%, citing tariff impacts.

BlackRock noted prolonged tariffs could hurt growth and inflation, pressuring equities.

Invesco highlighted stagflation risks and recommended defensive strategies like low-volatility and quality factors.

Forced Selling and Margin Calls

Margin calls triggered $28 billion in stock sales in South Korea alone (April 1-3), while volatility-targeting portfolios may sell $25 billion more.

Morgan Stanley observed signs of forced liquidation, even in defensive stocks.

Strategic Shifts

Wealth managers reallocated portfolios, favoring yen and U.S. Treasuries over equities.

Some saw opportunities in deregulation and domestic policies, but tariffs dominated near-term volatility.

While some may argue that market participants amplified fears, the data reflects genuine structural risks (e.g., stagflation, supply chain disruptions) and forced selling, not deliberate fear-mongering

https://www.perplexity.ai/search/fund-managers-deliberately-cri-0O83_X7QSeG3GI0lc7MXZA

wedbush exploited precarious Tesla CEO position to engineer tariff fueled selloff

Wedbush Securities, led by analyst Dan Ives, recently slashed Tesla's price target from $550 to $315, citing a "brand crisis tornado" exacerbated by CEO Elon Musk's political affiliations and the impact of U.S.-China tariffs. The firm attributes Tesla's challenges to Musk's alignment with the Trump administration, which they claim has alienated at least 10% of its potential customer base globally, with higher losses in Europe and China.

The tariff conflict, initiated by Trump's 54% levy on Chinese imports and China's retaliatory 34% tariff on U.S. goods, has compounded Tesla's woes by increasing costs and squeezing margins. Wedbush described the situation as a "double whammy," linking Musk's political visibility to declining consumer sentiment and investor anxiety.

While Wedbush maintains an "Outperform" rating, the drastic price cut reflects concerns over Tesla's leadership stability and Musk's divided focus, with some investors calling for his resignation. Tesla's stock has dropped ~44% year-to-date, underperforming amid the tariff fallout and brand erosion. The analysis suggests Wedbush leveraged these vulnerabilities to justify its revised outlook, though the firm still views Tesla as a long-term leader in the EV space.

https://www.perplexity.ai/search/wedbush-exploited-precarious-t-HCJyfXEcSwC5P1W3bWTqww

wedbush Tesla selloff shows little support for alternative fuels and the climate only interested in profits

Wedbush Securities' recent analysis highlights a stark shift in Tesla's outlook, driven by political and brand challenges rather than a commitment to alternative fuels or climate goals. The firm slashed Tesla's 12-month price target by 43% from $550 to $315, attributing the downgrade to Elon Musk's political engagements and the fallout from U.S.-China tariffs, which have eroded Tesla's brand appeal and customer base. The report describes Tesla as a "global political emblem," with Musk's actions contributing to a 10% loss in prospective buyers—a "self-inflicted brand crisis".

Key factors behind the selloff:

Political backlash: Musk's alignment with the Trump administration and polarizing statements have alienated some consumers, particularly in China, where domestic EV brands like BYD are gaining traction.

Tariff impacts: Trump’s 54% tariff on Chinese goods and China’s retaliatory 34% tariff on U.S. products have strained Tesla’s supply chain, despite its U.S. manufacturing footprint.

Declining sales: Q1 2025 deliveries dropped 13% YoY to 336,681 units, far below analyst expectations of 408,000, signaling weakening demand.

Alernative fuels sidelined:

While Tesla experiments with methanol-based hybrid technology in Europe (via Obrist’s HyperHybrid project), this initiative lacks official endorsement from Tesla and appears disconnected from its core financial struggles. The focus remains on profitability and market sentiment, with analysts like Ives framing Tesla’s challenges as a "tariff Armageddon" rather than a climate opportunity.

Market reaction:

Tesla’s stock has plummeted 37% YTD and 50% from its December 2024 peak, reflecting investor skepticism about its ability to navigate political headwinds and maintain its EV dominance. Wedbush’s revised target, though still bullish relative to Tesla’s current price, underscores a prioritization of short-term financial resilience over long-term sustainability.

https://www.perplexity.ai/search/wedbush-tesla-selloff-shows-li-8G2DjcU1SlyZTduMbx7VdA

Image: https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/the-digital-self/202401/has-chicken-little-become-ais-false-prophet-of-doom?

(X:) https://x.com/jameslangelle


No comments:

Post a Comment

Golden Dome SDI--The Battle for Orbital Supremacy--High Frontier

HEADQUARTERS California Bear Dispatch LAX Bureau 90028 A. Hayes, Correspondent 01 June 2025 To. Media, TBA. Fm. Outpost Tayl...